QuantGaffer

Expected points, measured honestly. A Fantasy Premier League points model built from dynamic team-strength ratings, player talent separated from team quality, and every goal, assist, clean sheet and bonus point played out a thousand times per fixture, on more than a decade of shot-level data.

For every player and fixture: expected points if he starts, the full points distribution (not just the average), scoring-event probabilities, a squad optimiser, and a gameweek-by-gameweek track record against FPL's own forecasts.